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Summer Movie Wager

Here's my first draft. I still need to think on it a bit maybe.

1. Despicable Me 4
2. Bad Boys: Ride or Die
3. Inside Out 2
4. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes
5. Furiosa
6. The Fall Guy
7. Deadpool 3
8. A Quiet Place: Day One
9. Garfield
10. Twisters

Dark Horses:
IF
Fly me to the Moon
Borderlands

I had twisters in my Dark Horses until I wrote this down because apparently the original Twister made 250 million in 1996! Adjuster for inflation that would make it the biggest movie of the summer. Of course that was thirty years ago but still... That kind of money is nothing to scoff at.

But I might do some revisions still. Though no "edited by" line at the bottom after deadline, which is before Friday May 3rd by the way.


Oh and since it came up a couple of times on discord the Movie Summer lasts from May 3rd to September 2nd

Summer Movie Wager

Some of these also depend on ratings. R-rated movies can make money, but oftentimes they don't make as much money as the same movie if it was pg-13. I'm mostly thinking of the horror movies. If there's a definite PG-13 horror movie for the kids this summer that is also not terrible it might do good money. But if it is a good R-rated horror movie it'll make enough to be in the top 20. But not the 100million that it would traditionally need to get to top 10)

Also Kinds of Kindness is not going to be in the top 10. Lanthimos' previous two movies (The Favourite and Poor Things) that have had some mainstream appeal all things considered only made around 35 million each. And to get to the top 10 you generally need at least 100 million)

There usually is an animated kids movie at the very top though. The question is which one it'll be Garfield, Inside Out or Despicable Me? Only one can be at the very top and the other two are likely in the 6-10 slots somewhere. Maybe. Probably. (My bets are on Despicable Me, those Minions just can't stop making money, no movie in that franchise has made under 250 million)

Summer Movie Wager

Yesterday I was perusing the site formerly known as Twitter and came upon this article: https://mashable.com/article/summer-movie-preview-2024

And I realize it's summer movie season again and I have no idea about anything about summer movies this year. But on the "official" summer movie website they have the deadline to submit lists on the first of May, meaning the event of the year is here!

Summer Movies Go!

oh and the rules pasted from previous years:
2016 Summer Movie Wager Scoring:
  • Getting number 1 or number 10 dead-on gets you 13 points (each).
The rest of the scoring goes like this:
  • 10 points for numbers 2-9 dead-on
  • 7 points if your pick was only one spot away from where it ended up
  • 5 points if it was two spots away
  • 3 points if your pick is anywhere in the Top 10
  • 1 point for each dark horse that makes it into the Top 10

The scoring is tabulated so that you get the SINGLE HIGHEST point value for each pick- that is, if you get number ten right, you don’t get 13+3, you only get 13.

So pick the top 10 movies that you think will make the most money in North America + three dark horses that may or may not crack the top 10 for bonus points.

The deadline on the summer movie wager site is May Day, but depending on interest I'll give RMN a few more days. Make sure to have your official lists in by the first weekend of May. When some big movie probably opens.


The fact is that movie box office is more erratic than ever. The numbers are way down and there usually aren't those massive openings for one movie that there was in the pre-pandemic era. Instead there's often three movies that make a bit of money instead of one dominating constantly.

So I have no idea how to do these numbers this year. But I assume that Inside Out 2 and Despicable Me 4 at least will make very good money. But I'll have to ponder this over the weekend.

"I'm still alive" "He says he's still alive" "Well, he's dying!"

AI goodness

At least I follow a lot of people on Twitter who do and link to gdc talks so chances are that's indeed where it's from :)

AI goodness

Damn, this is the kind of technical stuff I'd love to just spend a couple of weeks reading. I should probably bookmark it just in case I ever do. Though it also looks familiar so maybe I've been linked it before and had the exact same thoughts.

it's kinda weird this site still exists right?

Not that it exists. But that it is still... moderately active.